(Kalte Sonne, Fritz Vahrenholt, German Wildlife Foundation) Germany - Kalte Sonne Newsletter May 15, 2019 - Energy transition from the abyss15.May.2019
Fritz Vahrenholt, PhD Chemistry, Chairman, German Wildlife Foundation: But the beautiful new world of Gretl, Annalena and Robert has its price. The authors anticipated a 60% CO2 reduction, which is expected to be achieved by 2030. By then, that will cost 4300 billion in 11 years. So that the parents of Fridays for the Future understand the 4600 billion correctly: that is 153 billion per year; at 40 million households in Germany each household pays 320 € per month monthly - net. And if it goes to Gretl and her followers, namely in 15 years to achieve 100% renewable energy, then that would be 640 € a month - if it does not sooner come to a collapse of the German energy supply, which is very likely.
(Rob Jeffrey) South Africa - SOUTH AFRICA'S ELECTRICITY AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT - SPECIALISED COMMENTS PART 215.May.2019
Rob Jeffrey, Independent Economic Risk Consultant: South Africa is now (2018) in a recession, the fact is that South Africa does not have the financial resources to revitalise itself. The country suffers from a low savings rate and the government has no money to undertake the task of renewal and development itself. The only means to forge ahead is to make the country attractive to both domestic and foreign investment. Yet there are wild calls for expropriation without compensation, nationalisation of various industries, including one of the most damaging of the lot nationalising the SA reserve bank or using it as a pot of gold. These calls if they are implemented or gather in strength will drive South Africa into an economic death spiral similar to Zimbabwe and Venezuela.
One of South Africa’s key electricity technology energy advisors is a German renewable energy expert and supplier of German wind turbine equipment. Unbelievable. That highlights the desperate situation South African energy is in. German national energy programs based on wind and solar are only one natural crisis away from being in a disastrous situation.
(Rob Jeffrey) South Africa - SOUTH AFRICA’S ELECTRICITY AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT REQUIREMENTS PART 115.May.2019
Rob Jeffrey, Independent Economic Risk Consultant: The three major objectives of the country are poverty alleviation, reducing inequality and raising standards of living. These objectives can only be achieved by maintaining a high rate of economic growth, thereby reducing levels of unemployment and raising the standard of living. Electricity is a necessary but not a sufficient condition for economic growth. The necessary condition for sustainable economic growth is that there is a stable and secure supply of electricity at the lowest effective economic cost when delivered to the user. The sufficient condition requires that economic, social and political conditions must be put in place to foster and encourage domestic and foreign investment, thereby creating demand for productive and economically efficient industries.
Paul Homewood, editor of https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/: This essay provides stories and photos of ice and snow in the first half of May in 2017 and 2019 across Europe. Folklore tells Germans not to even plant grass seed before the middle of May, feasts of the Ice Saints: https://www.eisheilige.info/eisheilige-2019/. This is based on centuries of weather and climate experience that snow and ice can occur and kill seedlings in southern Germany until the 15th of May. This article provides stories and photos of cold and snow across Europe in 2017 and 2019. Almost nothing has changed regarding these rules and actual weather since the 1960s despite the majority of citizens in Germany, France and the United Kingdom falling under the wheels of fanatic man-made global warming alarmists in Paris, Potsdam and Berlin.
Germany's cost of switching to wind and solar energy for electricity, abandoning nuclear and coal will cost far more than 600 billion Euros and leave the country with precarious and expensive electrical energy. The problem of fossil fuels for space heating, process heat and transportation will still be there. Germany's decision to go 100% for wind and solar generated electrical energy will have very close to zero affect on climate change which is and always will be dominated by natural factors. Germany's potential enemies smile.
The success of democracy, liberty and prosperous capitalistic economies in Europe depends on Europe sticking with fossil fuels and nuclear. Because there are no other choices, Europe will have to stick to fossil fuels for most needs for space heating, process heat and transportation. France leads the way with nuclear powered electrification of railroads and urban public transportation. Not even Europe is close to following France in this area. Yet energy experts in France predict that the whole world can/will be powered by nuclear energy in less than 50 years. It is obvious to school children that the nuclear construction industry does not have that ability for the whole world to use nuclear to generate electricity plus solve all the political barriers in the next 50 or 100 years. Yes the whole world will use nuclear energy when the nuclear design and construction industry has the ability, when countries have stable and peaceful governments and strong economies and when the artificial barriers to nuclear are torn down. What is the equivalent French fairy tale of the German "Pied Piper of Hamelin" fairy tale? Ay dios mio! Oh my god!