TRCS Conclusions on Climate Change and CO2
- Article Countries: USA
- Article Year: 2021
- Publisher: Retired NASA Manager for Apollo, Shuttle, and Space Station programs
The IPCC (United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) has no geologists among the hundreds of authors of its last major report (2013/14) and at most 1 geologist in the next report. Thus IPCC focuses on only the last 170 years (since multiple reliable thermometer measurements began, ~1850), yet Earth is 26 million (sic) times older, 4.5 billion years. Geologists know that throughout this time Earth has constantly warmed or cooled (never static). Thus 'climate change' (warming or cooling) is perfectly usual. During the last 11,650 years, our current ‘Holocene’ interglacial epoch, climate change has repeatedly been fast enough to cause collapse of civilizations.
The IPCC’s very existence relies on public belief in ‘Anthropogenic (man-made) Global Warming' (AGW) by CO2 emissions. Most IPCC authors, mainly government and university researchers, are biased by strong vested interests in AGW - Anthropogenic Global Warming (publications; reputations; continuance of salaries; research grants).
The "greenhouse effect... a slight misnomer" (Wiki; in fact a complete misnomer;)... "is the process by which radiation from a planet's atmosphere warms the planet's surface". This bold claim that Earth's land- and ocean surfaces are warmed by the air is 'backwards'. In truth the (solar-warmed) ocean warms the atmosphere, as shown by three observations: (1) ocean-surface water (covering ~70% of Earth) is almost everywhere warmer (fractionally) than the air above it; (2) changes in global average surface air temperature lag 1 to 1.5 months behind corresponding changes in global sea-surface temperature; and (3) Antarctica has failed to warm in the last several decades (attributed to the ice sheet's high elevation delaying the landward penetration of ocean-warmed air). These facts indicate that heat (only capable of flowing one way, from warmer to cooler) flows outward, from the ocean to the air, not vice versa. A truthful summary of the greenhouse effect is that solar energy absorbed at Earth’s surface is radiated back into the atmosphere as heat, some of which is absorbed on its way out to space by greenhouse gases. Thus greenhouse gases cause no warming; instead they reduce the air's heat loss to space, exactly in the manner demonstrated by the great John Tyndall (Bullet 2B), who experimentally confirmed (1860) what is now called the greenhouse effect.
Principia Scientific, author Edward Ring: According to BBC writer Jonathan Amos, Earth’s great ice sheets, Greenland and Antarctica, are now losing mass six times faster than they were in the 1990s thanks to warming conditions. To focus on Antarctica, the report in Nature claimed Antarctica is losing, in recent years, 190 gigatons of ice per year, an amount that supposedly portends an ominous future for coastal cities around the world. But the total ice mass of Antarctica is generally estimated at 26.5 million gigatons. This means that the participating scientists claim they can observe a change in the total ice mass of Antarctica of one seven millionths per year. You can’t even make an easily comprehensible fraction for an amount this infinitesimal. Expressed using decimals, it’s .000007. It doesn’t take a scientist to wonder if these scientists aren’t jumping to conclusions. This amount of change is way below the noise level.”
It is clear from the remarks of Prince Charles’s central banker Mark Carney, Sir Michael Bloomberg, and BlackRock CEO Larry Fink at the Glasgow “Suicide Summit” called COP26, that they have a) great financial momentum in organizing the worldwide 1% to cut off new fossil fuel investment, and b) a great problem—the “green finance” investments are failures.
Before climate science became politicised, warm periods were referred to by scientists as “climate optima” because, for almost all species on Earth, warmer is better than colder. The most dramatic advances in civilization took place during the last four warm periods—including our own. The advancement of science, technology and the arts have been directly linked to warmer weather.
Had it not been so exceptionally calm in the run up to this autumn equinox, one could call the energy crisis a perfect storm. Wind farms stand idle for days on end, a fire interrupts a vital cable from France, a combination of post-Covid economic recovery and Russia tightening supply means the gas price has shot through the roof – and so the market price of both home heating and electricity is rocketing.
Yet this crisis is a mere harbinger of the candle-lit future that awaits us if we do not change course.
James Lovelock, PhD in Medicine, Chemist, Independent Scientist, Environmentalist. This renowned scientist, famous environmentalist and patron of Britain's SONE, Supporters of Nuclear Energy, is certain that catastrophic man-made global warming, climate disruption, sea-level rise is going to manifest itself in a few decades. Only the Pope is supposedly infallible and only when he speaks from the Pope's chair, "ex cathedra." Even then, some think the Pope can make mistakes in speaking. Scientists make mistakes all the times. But at least many of them are really searching for the truth.
"No climate crisis” is, of course, not the spin the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is putting on its new 3,676-page report released in February 2022. “The choices we make in the next decade will determine our future,” the IPCC says. “Any further delay in concerted global action will miss a brief and rapidly closing window to secure a livable future.”
It could hardly be plainer. The report is political advocacy barely masquerading as science.
In a blog post, Roger Pielke Jr. of the department of environmental studies at the University of Colorado Boulder notes that the IPCC lifts projections of future climate damages from studies that eliminate the choice of adapting to climate change, a practice Pielke calls “misleading at best.” Yet buried in the report is a study showing that adequate flood protection, i.e. adaptation, could avoid 95 percent of projected flood damages.
The current controversy over the cause of increasing global temperatures since the middle of the 20th century comes from the IPCC First Assessment Report issued in 1990. Current, reliable evidence shows the Earth has just come through a warm period. It is now in the early stages of cooling that might be similar to the Dalton Minimum and last for three or four decades. Average temperatures can drop by up to 1.5 degrees C and increase the rate of crop failures that have already started. It won't be easy to maintain the benefits of the recent warm phase of the Sun during the upcoming solar minimum.
Willie Soon is an astrophysicist, David Legates is a climatologist and professor of geography: When Erik the Red first arrived in Greenland, the fertile land was perfect for farming. Within a few centuries, the thriving Viking settlements had been wiped out by global cooling. The Little Ice Age has been scientifically identified. Since about 1850 the earth has been in a warming period.
What is the role of carbon dioxide in warming? The best available records of temperature and atmospheric CO2 over the past 650,000 years indicate that the earth's temperature always rises first, followed by a rise in carbon dioxide. A warmer earth leads to increased levels of CO2—and not the other way around.